WHERE ARE WE on the epidemic curve? Are we still clambering up towards the top or starting to gingerly slide towards the bottom? Will the Imperial College London model, which suggested that the virus could take 500,000 British lives, turn out to be right, or the modelling by researchers at the University of Oxford, which predicts fewer than 20,000 Covid-19 deaths, most of which would have happened anyway? Are the Serbs right to lock people up for three years if they are caught sneaking out for a packet of chocolate biscuits, or the Swedes, who are lolling about in cafes enjoying their coffee and kanelbullar? As more data comes in a clearer picture will emerge.